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State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves Show Stability

State Bank of Pakistan foreign exchange reserves recorded a modest yet meaningful increase during the final week of December 2025, reinforcing confidence in Pakistan’s external sector recovery. According to official data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank rose by $12.6 million, reflecting a 0.08% week-on-week (WoW) increase to reach $15.92 billion as of December 26, 2025.

This improvement comes at a critical time when Pakistan’s economy is navigating structural reforms, external financing needs, and currency stabilization efforts. While the weekly gain may appear limited in absolute terms, the broader fiscal and calendar year trends point toward sustained reserve rebuilding.

Read More: Pakistan Cuts Policy Rate by 50 Basis Points to 10.5 percent

Weekly Snapshot: State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves Performance

During the same week, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign reserves experienced a marginal decline of $10.4 million (0.05%), settling at $21.01 billion. This decline was primarily driven by a reduction in reserves held by commercial banks rather than the central bank.

In explanatory terms, the reserve movement can be summarized as follows:

  • SBP-held reserves increased slightly, reflecting official inflows and controlled outflows.
  • Commercial banks’ net foreign reserves declined by $23 million (0.45%), falling to $5.1 billion.
  • As a result, total national reserves edged lower despite SBP’s weekly gain.

This divergence highlights the stabilizing role of the central bank in managing Pakistan’s external buffers amid fluctuating private-sector liquidity.

State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves: Fiscal Year Momentum

From a fiscal perspective, State Bank of Pakistan foreign exchange reserves have posted a remarkable turnaround. Since the start of the current fiscal year, SBP-held reserves have increased by $6.85 billion, representing a substantial 75.58% rise.

This fiscal recovery reflects a combination of:

  • Multilateral and bilateral inflows
  • Improved current account discipline
  • Controlled import demand
  • Enhanced monetary and exchange rate management

Such gains underscore growing confidence among international lenders and development partners in Pakistan’s macroeconomic framework.

Calendar Year Growth Strengthens External Position

On a calendar-year basis, SBP reserves expanded by $4.2 billion, marking a 35.9% increase in 2025. This growth trajectory signals a shift away from the severe reserve stress witnessed in previous years when import cover had fallen to critically low levels.

The steady accumulation of reserves has also supported relative stability in the Pakistani rupee, helping anchor inflation expectations and improve sentiment across financial markets.

Monthly Trends: State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves in November 2025

Monthly data released by the SBP further reinforces the positive trend. In November 2025, State Bank of Pakistan foreign exchange reserves increased by $85.9 million, rising to $14.59 billion, compared to $14.50 billion in October 2025.

On a year-on-year basis, SBP reserves surged by $2.55 billion, reflecting a 21.19% increase from $12.04 billion in November 2024. This annual improvement demonstrates a clear strengthening of Pakistan’s external buffers compared to the previous year.

Commercial Banks and Total Reserves: A Mixed Picture

While SBP reserves improved, commercial banks’ foreign reserves declined on a monthly basis. In November 2025, banks held $4.55 billion, down by $122.8 million from the previous month.

However, on a yearly comparison, commercial banks’ reserves still showed resilience, rising by $457.7 million (11.19%) from November 2024. This indicates that despite short-term fluctuations, the banking sector remains relatively stable in foreign currency holdings.

Consequently, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves stood at $19.14 billion at the end of November 2025, slightly lower than October but significantly stronger than a year earlier, when reserves were $16.13 billion—an annual increase of $3.01 billion (18.66%).

State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves Signal Economic Recovery

Looking at the longer-term trajectory, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have shown a notable recovery since January 2025, when total reserves stood at $15.6 billion. By November 2025, reserves had improved by $3.54 billion, marking a 22.71% increase over a ten-month period.

This recovery has important implications for:

  • Import cover and energy financing
  • External debt servicing capacity
  • Exchange rate stability
  • Investor and creditor confidence

Outlook: Why State Bank of Pakistan Foreign Exchange Reserves Matter

The sustained improvement in State Bank of Pakistan foreign exchange reserves is a key indicator of macroeconomic stabilization. While challenges remain—particularly related to external financing requirements and global economic uncertainty—the reserve buildup provides a stronger cushion against shocks.

If current fiscal discipline, reform momentum, and external inflows continue, Pakistan’s reserve position could strengthen further in 2026, supporting broader economic growth and financial stability.

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