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PSX Soars to All-Time High on US Trade Deal Hopes

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) set a new record today as investors rallied behind hopes of fresh US investment under a potential trade deal. The surge, backed by record remittances and robust corporate earnings, marked a historic moment for the market. The keyword PSX record high reflects the growing optimism that is pushing the index into uncharted territory.

Index Breaks Records

The benchmark KSE-100 index jumped 1,547.05 points, or 1.06%, to close at 146,929.84. This milestone was driven by strong buying in exploration and production (E&P) and banking sectors. The rally showcased investor confidence in the economy’s growth outlook.

Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corp highlighted that the market closed at a historic peak as strong quarterly earnings coincided with optimism over the fine print of the Pakistan-US trade deal. Investors are betting that the agreement will pave the way for large-scale US investments in multiple sectors.

Economic Drivers Behind the Rally

Several key factors fed into the bullish momentum. Record remittances of $3.2 billion in July 2025 bolstered foreign exchange reserves. Rupee stability also reassured investors.

Moreover, ongoing India-US tariff disputes have created potential opportunities for Pakistani exporters. Market participants believe Pakistan could gain a competitive edge, especially in textiles, sports goods, and agricultural products.

Ali Najib, Deputy Head of Trading at Arif Habib Limited, noted that the bulls are charging toward the 150,000-point mark. The index not only crossed the 146,000 barrier but also settled just under 147,000 at 146,930, reflecting strong upward momentum.

Trade Deal Anticipation Lifts Sentiment

Investors are closely following the Pakistan-US trade negotiations. The market is betting that the visit of Pakistan’s army chief to Washington will secure more favorable terms for Pakistani exports. Such developments could boost shipments to the US, particularly in industries where Pakistan already has a foothold.

Najib explained that the E&P sector led the charge due to news of an impending resolution to the country’s circular debt crisis. This reform is expected to improve cash flows for energy companies, attracting fresh investor interest.

Read: PSX Halts Climb At 145,383 Amid Profit-Taking

Sector-Wise Performance

The E&P sector stood out as the top performer of the day. Mari Petroleum and Oil and Gas Development Company collectively contributed 526 points to the KSE-100 index. The rally was fueled by expectations of better liquidity once the circular debt resolution is implemented.

The banking sector also recorded notable gains. Heavyweights like Bank AL Habib, Meezan Bank, MCB Bank, Habib Metropolitan Bank, and Faysal Bank enjoyed sustained buying throughout the session. Together, these banks added 679 points to the index.

This sector-wide optimism signaled broader investor faith in Pakistan’s economic stability and the potential for credit growth if US investments materialize.

Technical Outlook and Market Trends

Analysts believe that progress on the circular debt issue could further energize the market. However, some experts also anticipate a phase of consolidation or mild correction after such a steep rise.

In case of a pullback, 145,000 points is expected to serve as the first major support level, followed by 143,000. On the upside, 150,000 remains the next significant resistance. A breakthrough above that could push the PSX into another record-breaking run.

Trading activity also reflected strong market engagement. Volumes rose to 611.2 million shares, up from 548.1 million in the previous session. However, the traded value slipped slightly to Rs44 billion from Rs45.5 billion on Friday, suggesting a focus on mid-cap and retail-friendly stocks.

Most Active Stocks

A total of 479 companies’ shares changed hands during the session. Out of these, 242 closed higher, 209 declined, and 28 remained unchanged.

Lotte Chemical emerged as the day’s volume leader, with 73.3 million shares traded. The stock gained 54 paisa to close at Rs21.80.

Growing Momentum in the Market

The current rally is not an isolated event. It reflects a combination of local and international factors favoring Pakistan’s economy. Record remittances, stable currency, improving corporate earnings, and the possibility of expanded US trade ties are all converging to build market confidence.

If the momentum continues and external conditions remain supportive, the PSX could soon test the symbolic 150,000-point mark. For now, the PSX record high stands as a testament to the market’s resilience and investors’ belief in the country’s economic future.

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